The sea-ice performance of the Australian climate models participating in the CMIP5

نویسندگان

  • P. Uotila
  • S. O’Farrell
چکیده

The sea-ice performance of the Australian climate models participating in the CMIP5 experiment, ACCESS1.0, ACCESS1.3 and CSIRO-Mk3.6, is assessed. Comparison with model output from five other international climate modelling centres and observational data are also included in the assessment process. The assessment takes into account modelled climatologies and interannual variability of the sea ice extent, concentration, thickness and transport. The ACCESS models give good simulations of the global sea-ice, within the scatter of models studied, and is one of the top performing models for sea-ice metrics. CSIRO-Mk3.6 has too extensive sea-ice and the sea-ice model would likely have performed significantly better after adjustment of the model parameters. As a consequence, ACCESS and CSIRO-Mk3.6 show opposite hemispheric climate sensitivities in terms of sea ice. The ACCESS models generally capture the observed decline of the Arctic sea ice over the period of 1981–2011, but not the small increase in the Antarctic sea ice, although the simulated changes over this period are generally smaller in the Antarctic than in the Arctic. In the Arctic, the sea-ice reductions in the ACCESS models occur in the Laptev and Kara Seas rather than in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas as observed.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Using records from submarine, aircraft and satellites to evaluate climate model simulations of Arctic sea ice thickness

Arctic sea ice thickness distributions from models participating in the World Climate Research Programme Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are evaluated against observations from submarines, aircraft and satellites. While it is encouraging that the mean thickness distributions from the models are in general agreement with observations, the spatial patterns of sea ice thickne...

متن کامل

Assessment of sea ice simulations in the CMIP5 models

The historical simulations of sea ice during 1979 to 2005 by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) are compared with satellite observations, Global Ice-Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (GIOMAS) output data and Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) output data in this study. Forty-nine models, almost all of the CMIP5 climate models and earth sys...

متن کامل

Evaluation of the performance of the CMIP5 General Circulation Models in predicting the Indian Ocean Monsoon precipitation over south Sistan and Baluchestan, using the past hydrological changes in the region

1-Introduction Climate change refers to any significant change in the existing mean climatic conditions within a certain time period (Jana and Majumder, 2010; Giorgi, 2006). Earth's climate change through history has happened (Nakicenovic et al., 2000; Bytnerowicz et al., 2007). 2-Materials and methods In this study, daily precipitation and daily maximum (Tmax) and daily minimum (Tmin) tempera...

متن کامل

Historical Antarctic mean sea ice area, sea ice trends, and winds in CMIP5 simulations

Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use. The MIT Faculty has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters. [1] In contrast to Arctic sea ice, average Antarctic sea ice area is not retreating but has slowly increased since ...

متن کامل

Can natural variability explain observed Antarctic sea ice trends? New modeling evidence from CMIP5

[1] The recent observed positive trends in total Antarctic sea ice extent are at odds with the expectation of melting sea ice in a warming world. More problematic yet, climate models indicate that sea ice should decrease around Antarctica in response to both increasing greenhouse gases and stratospheric ozone depletion. The resolution of this puzzle, we suggest, may lie in the large natural var...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013